Strategy · all-conf55-edge10-byimplied_prob-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 10%, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.1,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.1,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 1
Days active: 1
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 0 / 0 / 0
Win rate: —
ROI: 0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: —
Units: 0.00u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: —
Worst 30d: —
Longest win streak: 0
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-06-03 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 490
Days active: 145
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 363 / 84 / 0
Win rate: 81.2%
ROI: 545.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 448.7%
Units: +2672.09u
Max drawdown: +13.69u
Best 30d: +1780.47u
Worst 30d: -10.76u
Longest win streak: 24
Longest loss streak: 7
Range: 2025-04-01 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.1,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	MetsMets @ Mariners	+119	pending	0.00u

1 most-recent picks shown.