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Strategy · all-conf55-edge10-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 10%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
185
Days active
92
Wins / Losses / Pushes
124 / 40 / 0
Win rate
75.6%
ROI
361.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
218.6%
Units
+669.06u
Max drawdown
+18.76u
Best 30d
+316.65u
Worst 30d
-15.84u
Longest win streak
17
Longest loss streak
7
Range
2025-06-22 → 2026-03-23

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.1,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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