Strategy · all-conf55-edge2-byimplied_prob-top1persport
In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 1 per sport per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 16
- Days active
- 13
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 5 / 5 / 0
- Win rate
- 50.0%
- ROI
- -11.4%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -47.5%
- Units
- -1.82u
- Max drawdown
- +3.06u
- Best 30d
- -1.00u
- Worst 30d
- -3.06u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 640
- Days active
- 377
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 250 / 116 / 0
- Win rate
- 68.3%
- ROI
- 25.9%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -0.1%
- Units
- +165.81u
- Max drawdown
- +24.97u
- Best 30d
- +101.51u
- Worst 30d
- -12.26u
- Longest win streak
- 8
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n_per_sport"
},
"filters": {
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRockies @ Angels | -162 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPadres @ Phillies | -136 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-27 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -115 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-26 | mlb | in ledger | MarinersMariners @ Athletics | -118 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -148 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -135 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPhillies @ Padres | -126 | win | +0.79u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox | -157 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-23 | mlb | in ledger | GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants | -107 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
| 2026-05-21 | mlb | in ledger | AthleticsAthletics @ Angels | -126 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Rockies | -136 | win | +0.73u |
16 most-recent picks shown.