Strategy · all-conf55-edge2-favorite-away-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, away only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 10
Days active: 10
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 2 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 15.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: -7.8%
Units: +1.53u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: +1.53u
Worst 30d: 0.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 236
Days active: 236
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 98 / 47 / 0
Win rate: 67.6%
ROI: 62.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 1.9%
Units: +146.94u
Max drawdown: +8.62u
Best 30d: +102.43u
Worst 30d: -6.39u
Longest win streak: 8
Longest loss streak: 4
Range: 2025-03-31 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks	-122	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-125	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-26	mlb	in ledger	MarinersMariners @ Athletics	-118	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	GuardiansGuardians @ Phillies	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DodgersDodgers @ Brewers	-112	pending	0.00u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	AthleticsAthletics @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Rockies	-136	win	+0.73u

10 most-recent picks shown.