Strategy · all-conf55-edge2-favorite-byedge-top10pct
In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 13
- Days active
- 13
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 3 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 75.0%
- ROI
- 9.0%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -18.6%
- Units
- +1.17u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- +1.17u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 348
- Days active
- 332
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 117 / 68 / 0
- Win rate
- 63.2%
- ROI
- 266.9%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 166.3%
- Units
- +928.72u
- Max drawdown
- +8.14u
- Best 30d
- +346.74u
- Worst 30d
- -6.94u
- Longest win streak
- 4
- Longest loss streak
- 4
- Range
- 2025-03-31 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "edge",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | DodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks | -122 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Cardinals | -115 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Cardinals | -125 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -115 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-26 | mlb | in ledger | MarinersMariners @ Athletics | -118 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPhillies @ Padres | -126 | win | +0.79u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | White SoxWhite Sox @ Giants | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-23 | mlb | in ledger | GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants | -107 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsAthletics @ Angels | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-21 | mlb | in ledger | MetsMets @ Nationals | -114 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Rockies | -136 | win | +0.73u |
13 most-recent picks shown.