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Strategy · all-conf55-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top5

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
16
Days active
11
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 4 / 0
Win rate
42.9%
ROI
-14.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-44.1%
Units
-2.35u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
-1.00u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
658
Days active
254
Wins / Losses / Pushes
167 / 65 / 0
Win rate
72.0%
ROI
173.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
114.6%
Units
+1142.37u
Max drawdown
+16.38u
Best 30d
+498.42u
Worst 30d
-8.23u
Longest win streak
7
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-04-02 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerPhilliesPadres @ Phillies-136pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-25nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerAngelsRangers @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerCardinalsPirates @ Cardinals-120pending0.00u

16 most-recent picks shown.