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Strategy · all-conf55-edge2-favorite-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
13
Days active
13
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 4 / 0
Win rate
55.6%
ROI
-6.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-49.4%
Units
-0.82u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
-0.82u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
348
Days active
332
Wins / Losses / Pushes
117 / 54 / 0
Win rate
68.4%
ROI
255.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
157.7%
Units
+889.61u
Max drawdown
+8.00u
Best 30d
+347.40u
Worst 30d
-4.96u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-03-31 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerMarinersMariners @ Athletics-118pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerGiantsWhite Sox @ Giants-107pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerAthleticsAthletics @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

13 most-recent picks shown.