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Strategy · all-conf55-edge5-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
9
Days active
9
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 1 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
13.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-29.3%
Units
+1.17u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+1.17u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-02

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
202
Days active
202
Wins / Losses / Pushes
82 / 42 / 0
Win rate
66.1%
ROI
293.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
156.5%
Units
+593.72u
Max drawdown
+6.47u
Best 30d
+349.13u
Worst 30d
-5.28u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-04-01 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-27nhlin ledgerAvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights-115pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerWhite SoxWhite Sox @ Giants-110pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerAngelsAthletics @ Angels-110pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerMetsMets @ Nationals-114pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

9 most-recent picks shown.