Strategy · all-conf55-edge5-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top1persport
In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 1 per sport per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 3
- Days active
- 3
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 1 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 50.0%
- ROI
- -11.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -217.8%
- Units
- -0.35u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- -0.35u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-22 → 2026-05-31
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 125
- Days active
- 117
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 41 / 18 / 0
- Win rate
- 69.5%
- ROI
- 555.3%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 322.0%
- Units
- +694.11u
- Max drawdown
- +7.82u
- Best 30d
- +299.36u
- Worst 30d
- -5.10u
- Longest win streak
- 5
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-04-04 → 2026-05-18
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n_per_sport"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.55
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsAthletics @ Angels | -110 | pending | 0.00u |
3 most-recent picks shown.