Strategy · all-conf55-edge5-home-byedge-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.55
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 3
Days active: 3
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 50.0%
ROI: -11.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -217.8%
Units: -0.35u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: -0.35u
Worst 30d: -1.00u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-22 → 2026-05-31

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 744
Days active: 218
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 455 / 139 / 0
Win rate: 76.6%
ROI: 448.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 372.5%
Units: +3335.16u
Max drawdown: +26.57u
Best 30d: +1785.61u
Worst 30d: -15.30u
Longest win streak: 22
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-03-29 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-31	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	AngelsAthletics @ Angels	-110	pending	0.00u

3 most-recent picks shown.