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Strategy · all-conf55-edge5-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top1persport

In every sport, confidence ≥ 55%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 1 per sport per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
194
Days active
164
Wins / Losses / Pushes
118 / 40 / 0
Win rate
74.7%
ROI
238.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
118.0%
Units
+462.53u
Max drawdown
+13.54u
Best 30d
+279.86u
Worst 30d
-8.90u
Longest win streak
14
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-29 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n_per_sport"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.55
  }
}

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