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Strategy · all-conf60-byimplied_prob-top1

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
14
Days active
14
Wins / Losses / Pushes
8 / 3 / 0
Win rate
72.7%
ROI
4.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-30.2%
Units
+0.67u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+0.67u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
403
Days active
403
Wins / Losses / Pushes
165 / 87 / 0
Win rate
65.5%
ROI
-14.2%
Wilson-LB ROI
-18.1%
Units
-57.39u
Max drawdown
+57.79u
Best 30d
+5.73u
Worst 30d
-14.94u
Longest win streak
8
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205win+0.49u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u

14 most-recent picks shown.