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Strategy · all-conf60-edge0-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 0%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
12
Days active
12
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 4 / 0
Win rate
55.6%
ROI
-12.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
-55.9%
Units
-1.49u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
-0.93u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
412
Days active
312
Wins / Losses / Pushes
225 / 78 / 0
Win rate
74.3%
ROI
39.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-0.7%
Units
+162.59u
Max drawdown
+25.52u
Best 30d
+101.47u
Worst 30d
-16.14u
Longest win streak
25
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-25nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u

12 most-recent picks shown.