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Strategy · all-conf60-edge10-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 10%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
131
Days active
127
Wins / Losses / Pushes
97 / 31 / 0
Win rate
75.8%
ROI
197.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
57.8%
Units
+258.61u
Max drawdown
+7.14u
Best 30d
+112.02u
Worst 30d
-4.68u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.1,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

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