Strategy · all-conf60-edge2-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, sort by confidence descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 15
Days active: 11
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 5 / 5 / 0
Win rate: 50.0%
ROI: -12.1%
Wilson-LB ROI: -51.0%
Units: -1.82u
Max drawdown: +3.06u
Best 30d: -1.00u
Worst 30d: -3.06u
Longest win streak: 2
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 2,285
Days active: 342
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1285 / 505 / 0
Win rate: 71.8%
ROI: 151.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: 123.5%
Units: +3449.13u
Max drawdown: +78.42u
Best 30d: +1806.84u
Worst 30d: -60.67u
Longest win streak: 19
Longest loss streak: 7
Range: 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-03	mlb	in ledger	AngelsRockies @ Angels	-162	loss	-1.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	BravesBlue Jays @ Braves	-131	pending	0.00u
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-31	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-25	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-148	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-25	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-135	pending	0.00u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox	-157	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	win	+0.50u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	AthleticsAthletics @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Rockies	-136	win	+0.73u

15 most-recent picks shown.