Strategy · all-conf60-edge2-favorite-away-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, away only, sort by confidence descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 5
Days active: 4
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 2 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 66.7%
ROI: 10.6%
Wilson-LB ROI: -79.7%
Units: +0.53u
Max drawdown: +0.21u
Best 30d: +0.53u
Worst 30d: -0.21u
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-02

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 398
Days active: 193
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 186 / 97 / 0
Win rate: 65.7%
ROI: 22.8%
Wilson-LB ROI: -6.9%
Units: +90.56u
Max drawdown: +11.61u
Best 30d: +100.63u
Worst 30d: -8.62u
Longest win streak: 9
Longest loss streak: 6
Range: 2025-04-22 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-02	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Cardinals	-115	pending	0.00u
2026-05-25	mlb	in ledger	PhilliesPhillies @ Padres	-126	win	+0.79u
2026-05-25	nhl	in ledger	AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights	-148	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-21	mlb	in ledger	AthleticsAthletics @ Angels	-126	pending	0.00u
2026-05-20	mlb	in ledger	RangersRangers @ Rockies	-136	win	+0.73u

5 most-recent picks shown.