Strategy · all-conf60-edge2-favorite-away-byimplied_prob-top1persport
In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 1 per sport per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 5
- Days active
- 4
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 2 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- ROI
- 10.6%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -79.7%
- Units
- +0.53u
- Max drawdown
- +0.21u
- Best 30d
- +0.53u
- Worst 30d
- -0.21u
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-02
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 210
- Days active
- 193
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 99 / 51 / 0
- Win rate
- 66.0%
- ROI
- 44.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -11.2%
- Units
- +93.50u
- Max drawdown
- +6.76u
- Best 30d
- +100.69u
- Worst 30d
- -5.84u
- Longest win streak
- 9
- Longest loss streak
- 4
- Range
- 2025-04-22 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n_per_sport"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "away",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Cardinals | -115 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -148 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPhillies @ Padres | -126 | win | +0.79u |
| 2026-05-21 | mlb | in ledger | AthleticsAthletics @ Angels | -126 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Rockies | -136 | win | +0.73u |
5 most-recent picks shown.