Strategy · all-conf60-edge2-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 11
- Days active
- 11
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 4 / 5 / 0
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- ROI
- -23.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -75.1%
- Units
- -2.61u
- Max drawdown
- +3.85u
- Best 30d
- -1.00u
- Worst 30d
- -3.85u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 283
- Days active
- 274
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 110 / 51 / 0
- Win rate
- 68.3%
- ROI
- 278.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 165.5%
- Units
- +789.07u
- Max drawdown
- +4.95u
- Best 30d
- +298.69u
- Worst 30d
- -4.61u
- Longest win streak
- 6
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-04-04 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRockies @ Angels | -162 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | BravesBlue Jays @ Braves | -131 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-25 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -148 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox | -157 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
| 2026-05-21 | mlb | in ledger | AthleticsAthletics @ Angels | -126 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Rockies | -136 | win | +0.73u |
11 most-recent picks shown.