Skip to content

Strategy · all-conf60-edge2-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top1persport

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 1 per sport per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
198
Days active
174
Wins / Losses / Pushes
138 / 52 / 0
Win rate
72.6%
ROI
228.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
110.1%
Units
+452.18u
Max drawdown
+14.50u
Best 30d
+282.20u
Worst 30d
-10.70u
Longest win streak
19
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-03-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n_per_sport"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.