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Strategy · all-conf60-edge5-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 5%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
2
Days active
2
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 1 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-17.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-1062.8%
Units
-0.35u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
-0.35u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-29 → 2026-05-31

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
192
Days active
187
Wins / Losses / Pushes
132 / 41 / 0
Win rate
76.3%
ROI
259.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
127.2%
Units
+498.91u
Max drawdown
+9.00u
Best 30d
+198.83u
Worst 30d
-5.24u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-29 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u

2 most-recent picks shown.