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Strategy · all-conf60-edge5-underdog-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 184
- Days active
- 177
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 134 / 42 / 0
- Win rate
- 76.1%
- ROI
- 17.7%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -27.9%
- Units
- +32.64u
- Max drawdown
- +14.16u
- Best 30d
- +49.69u
- Worst 30d
- -7.70u
- Longest win streak
- 14
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-17
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "underdog",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.6
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
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