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Strategy · all-conf60-favorite-away-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, favorites only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
4
Days active
4
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 1 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-10.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-114.7%
Units
-0.43u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
0.00u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-02

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
424
Days active
305
Wins / Losses / Pushes
73 / 43 / 0
Win rate
62.9%
ROI
44.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
5.2%
Units
+186.53u
Max drawdown
+6.91u
Best 30d
+100.23u
Worst 30d
-6.91u
Longest win streak
5
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-04-22 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "away",
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks-163pending0.00u
2026-05-25nhlin ledgerAvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights-148loss-1.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Padres-175win+0.57u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205pending0.00u

4 most-recent picks shown.