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Strategy · all-conf60-favorite-byimplied_prob-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 60%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "confidence_min": 0.6
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
59
Days active
15
Wins / Losses / Pushes
23 / 11 / 0
Win rate
67.7%
ROI
0.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-13.6%
Units
+0.28u
Max drawdown
+5.00u
Best 30d
+0.28u
Worst 30d
-5.00u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
11,043
Days active
363
Wins / Losses / Pushes
2699 / 1095 / 0
Win rate
71.1%
ROI
15.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
10.9%
Units
+1698.21u
Max drawdown
+52.91u
Best 30d
+595.95u
Worst 30d
-43.98u
Longest win streak
21
Longest loss streak
8
Range
2025-03-31 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.6
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162loss-1.00u
2026-06-03mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-162pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerYankeesGuardians @ Yankees-240pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-219loss-1.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerAngelsRockies @ Angels-219pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Diamondbacks-163pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerBravesBlue Jays @ Braves-131pending0.00u
2026-06-02mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Cardinals-115pending0.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155pending0.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerGuardiansNationals @ Guardians-193win+0.52u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerGuardiansNationals @ Guardians-193pending0.00u
2026-05-27mlbin ledgerBlue JaysMarlins @ Blue Jays-162pending0.00u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerGuardiansNationals @ Guardians-180loss-1.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerGuardiansNationals @ Guardians-180pending0.00u
2026-05-25nhlin ledgerAvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights-148loss-1.00u
2026-05-25nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-135pending0.00u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerPhilliesPhillies @ Padres-126win+0.79u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerCubsAstros @ Cubs-179pending0.00u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerRed SoxTwins @ Red Sox-157loss-1.00u
2026-05-23nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205win+0.49u
2026-05-23nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205win+0.49u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199pending0.00u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-23nhlin ledgerAvalancheGolden Knights @ Avalanche-192pending0.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205loss-1.00u
2026-05-22nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205loss-1.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerYankeesBlue Jays @ Yankees-175pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerYankeesBlue Jays @ Yankees-175pending0.00u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerDodgersDodgers @ Padres-175win+0.57u
2026-05-21mlbin ledgerAthleticsAthletics @ Angels-126pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205win+0.49u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerYankeesBlue Jays @ Yankees-175pending0.00u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerRangersRangers @ Rockies-136win+0.73u

59 most-recent picks shown.