Skip to content

Strategy · all-conf65-byimplied_prob-top3

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
22
Days active
13
Wins / Losses / Pushes
15 / 4 / 0
Win rate
79.0%
ROI
12.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-12.9%
Units
+2.71u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+2.71u
Worst 30d
-3.00u
Longest win streak
6
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
1,052
Days active
380
Wins / Losses / Pushes
462 / 205 / 0
Win rate
69.3%
ROI
2.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
-11.7%
Units
+22.19u
Max drawdown
+82.57u
Best 30d
+102.06u
Worst 30d
-28.74u
Longest win streak
13
Longest loss streak
6
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-20

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-26mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-325win+0.31u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-25mlbin ledgerBrewersCardinals @ Brewers-225win+0.44u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-205win+0.49u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230pending0.00u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u
2026-05-21nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-238win+0.42u
2026-05-20mlbin ledgerBravesBraves @ Marlins-205win+0.49u

22 most-recent picks shown.