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Strategy · all-conf65-edge0-favorite-byimplied_prob-top1

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
9
Days active
9
Wins / Losses / Pushes
5 / 3 / 0
Win rate
62.5%
ROI
-5.4%
Wilson-LB ROI
-61.6%
Units
-0.49u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.07u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
273
Days active
273
Wins / Losses / Pushes
94 / 27 / 0
Win rate
77.7%
ROI
149.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
65.4%
Units
+408.29u
Max drawdown
+3.00u
Best 30d
+153.15u
Worst 30d
-2.82u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u

9 most-recent picks shown.