Strategy · all-conf65-edge0-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 12
Days active: 9
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 8 / 3 / 0
Win rate: 72.7%
ROI: 7.7%
Wilson-LB ROI: -34.8%
Units: +0.93u
Max drawdown: +2.00u
Best 30d: +0.93u
Worst 30d: -2.00u
Longest win streak: 4
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 1,616
Days active: 220
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 578 / 180 / 0
Win rate: 76.3%
ROI: 29.3%
Wilson-LB ROI: 13.9%
Units: +472.71u
Max drawdown: +8.51u
Best 30d: +201.64u
Worst 30d: -7.71u
Longest win streak: 19
Longest loss streak: 4
Range: 2025-04-08 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-06-01	mlb	in ledger	RedsRoyals @ Reds	-220	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-31	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-155	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-30	nhl	in ledger	HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes	-238	win	+0.42u
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-424	pending	0.00u
2026-05-27	nba	in ledger	ThunderSpurs @ Thunder	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-24	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-198	win	+0.51u
2026-05-23	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	loss	-1.00u
2026-05-22	nba	in ledger	KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks	-230	win	+0.43u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	BravesNationals @ Braves	-219	win	+0.46u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	BravesNationals @ Braves	-219	win	+0.46u
2026-05-22	mlb	in ledger	DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks	-199	win	+0.50u

12 most-recent picks shown.