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Strategy · all-conf65-edge0-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top3persport

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 0%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per sport per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
12
Days active
9
Wins / Losses / Pushes
8 / 3 / 0
Win rate
72.7%
ROI
7.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-34.8%
Units
+0.93u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.93u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
4
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
624
Days active
220
Wins / Losses / Pushes
192 / 56 / 0
Win rate
77.4%
ROI
74.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
34.6%
Units
+461.61u
Max drawdown
+7.77u
Best 30d
+201.24u
Worst 30d
-5.12u
Longest win streak
20
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n_per_sport"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u

12 most-recent picks shown.