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Strategy · all-conf65-edge0-home-byimplied_prob-top1persport

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 0%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 1 per sport per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
10
Days active
9
Wins / Losses / Pushes
6 / 3 / 0
Win rate
66.7%
ROI
-0.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-50.9%
Units
-0.03u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+0.07u
Worst 30d
-2.00u
Longest win streak
2
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
451
Days active
276
Wins / Losses / Pushes
217 / 68 / 0
Win rate
76.1%
ROI
39.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
6.8%
Units
+175.91u
Max drawdown
+17.64u
Best 30d
+81.97u
Worst 30d
-11.37u
Longest win streak
23
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n_per_sport"
  },
  "filters": {
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-30nhlin ledgerHurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes-238win+0.42u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-24mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-198win+0.51u
2026-05-23mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199loss-1.00u
2026-05-22nbain ledgerKnicksCavaliers @ Knicks-230win+0.43u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerBravesNationals @ Braves-219win+0.46u

10 most-recent picks shown.