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Strategy · all-conf65-edge10-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 10%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
122
Days active
118
Wins / Losses / Pushes
92 / 29 / 0
Win rate
76.0%
ROI
169.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
34.3%
Units
+206.29u
Max drawdown
+14.12u
Best 30d
+113.02u
Worst 30d
-7.94u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-02

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.1,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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