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Strategy · all-conf65-edge5-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 5%, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
2
Days active
2
Wins / Losses / Pushes
1 / 1 / 0
Win rate
50.0%
ROI
-17.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-1062.8%
Units
-0.35u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
-0.35u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
1
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-29 → 2026-05-31

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
227
Days active
220
Wins / Losses / Pushes
161 / 56 / 0
Win rate
74.2%
ROI
119.1%
Wilson-LB ROI
30.9%
Units
+270.34u
Max drawdown
+19.96u
Best 30d
+149.30u
Worst 30d
-9.68u
Longest win streak
16
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-03-27 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-31nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-155loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u

2 most-recent picks shown.