Strategy · all-conf65-edge5-favorite-away-top1

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, away only, sort by confidence descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "pct": 0.1,
      "mode": "top_pct"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n_per_sport"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.65
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 66
Days active: 66
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 42 / 16 / 0
Win rate: 72.4%
ROI: 80.4%
Wilson-LB ROI: -71.7%
Units: +53.05u
Max drawdown: +2.85u
Best 30d: +51.22u
Worst 30d: -3.35u
Longest win streak: 8
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-05-01 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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