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Strategy · all-conf65-edge5-underdog-home-byimplied_prob-top3

In every sport, confidence ≥ 65%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
250
Days active
122
Wins / Losses / Pushes
195 / 54 / 0
Win rate
78.3%
ROI
191.6%
Wilson-LB ROI
102.6%
Units
+479.11u
Max drawdown
+16.12u
Best 30d
+212.60u
Worst 30d
-11.44u
Longest win streak
36
Longest loss streak
4
Range
2025-04-13 → 2026-03-17

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.65
  }
}

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