Strategy · all-conf70-edge0-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 0%, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 6
- Days active
- 6
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 4 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 80.0%
- ROI
- 16.8%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -47.4%
- Units
- +1.00u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- +1.00u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 277
- Days active
- 221
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 144 / 47 / 0
- Win rate
- 75.4%
- ROI
- 48.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -3.2%
- Units
- +134.43u
- Max drawdown
- +20.78u
- Best 30d
- +54.34u
- Worst 30d
- -13.32u
- Longest win streak
- 23
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-04-08 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-30 | nhl | in ledger | HurricanesCanadiens @ Hurricanes | -238 | win | +0.42u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-28 | mlb | in ledger | DodgersRockies @ Dodgers | -424 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-22 | nba | in ledger | KnicksCavaliers @ Knicks | -230 | win | +0.43u |
6 most-recent picks shown.