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Strategy · all-conf70-edge10-underdog-home-byedge-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 10%, underdogs only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
69
Days active
67
Wins / Losses / Pushes
61 / 8 / 0
Win rate
88.4%
ROI
768.9%
Wilson-LB ROI
394.7%
Units
+530.53u
Max drawdown
+4.70u
Best 30d
+344.81u
Worst 30d
-1.94u
Longest win streak
23
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-08-28 → 2026-03-16

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.1,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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