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Strategy · all-conf70-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
4
Days active
4
Wins / Losses / Pushes
3 / 1 / 0
Win rate
75.0%
ROI
16.3%
Wilson-LB ROI
-107.5%
Units
+0.65u
Max drawdown
+1.00u
Best 30d
+0.65u
Worst 30d
-1.00u
Longest win streak
3
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
126
Days active
125
Wins / Losses / Pushes
38 / 13 / 0
Win rate
74.5%
ROI
79.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
-13.1%
Units
+99.60u
Max drawdown
+6.16u
Best 30d
+51.41u
Worst 30d
-3.38u
Longest win streak
13
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-06-01mlbin ledgerRedsRoyals @ Reds-220loss-1.00u
2026-05-29nbain ledgerSpursThunder @ Spurs-155win+0.65u
2026-05-27nbain ledgerThunderSpurs @ Thunder-198win+0.51u
2026-05-22mlbin ledgerDiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks-199win+0.50u

4 most-recent picks shown.