Strategy · all-conf70-edge2-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top3
In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 4
- Days active
- 4
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 3 / 1 / 0
- Win rate
- 75.0%
- ROI
- 16.3%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -107.5%
- Units
- +0.65u
- Max drawdown
- +1.00u
- Best 30d
- +0.65u
- Worst 30d
- -1.00u
- Longest win streak
- 3
- Longest loss streak
- 1
- Range
- 2026-05-22 → 2026-06-01
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 243
- Days active
- 125
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 81 / 25 / 0
- Win rate
- 76.4%
- ROI
- 62.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- 4.0%
- Units
- +151.77u
- Max drawdown
- +8.72u
- Best 30d
- +101.81u
- Worst 30d
- -4.47u
- Longest win streak
- 15
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-04-08 → 2026-05-18
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "home",
"edge_min": 0.02,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
4 most-recent picks shown.