Strategy · all-conf70-edge2-underdog-home-byedge-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, home only, sort by edge descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 117
Days active: 115
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 94 / 23 / 0
Win rate: 80.3%
ROI: 441.2%
Wilson-LB ROI: 211.2%
Units: +516.19u
Max drawdown: +14.44u
Best 30d: +344.87u
Worst 30d: -9.84u
Longest win streak: 27
Longest loss streak: 3
Range: 2025-04-13 → 2026-03-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.