Strategy · all-conf70-edge5-favorite-byimplied_prob-top3persport
In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per sport per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 1
- Days active
- 1
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 1 / 0 / 0
- Win rate
- 100.0%
- ROI
- 64.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- —
- Units
- +0.65u
- Max drawdown
- 0.00u
- Best 30d
- —
- Worst 30d
- —
- Longest win streak
- 1
- Longest loss streak
- 0
- Range
- 2026-05-29 → 2026-05-29
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 119
- Days active
- 76
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 74 / 27 / 0
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- ROI
- 126.5%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -16.8%
- Units
- +150.53u
- Max drawdown
- +6.54u
- Best 30d
- +100.36u
- Worst 30d
- -3.83u
- Longest win streak
- 9
- Longest loss streak
- 3
- Range
- 2025-04-08 → 2026-05-18
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 3,
"mode": "top_n_per_sport"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"edge_min": 0.05,
"confidence_min": 0.7
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
1 most-recent picks shown.