Strategy · all-conf70-edge5-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 1
Days active: 1
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 1 / 0 / 0
Win rate: 100.0%
ROI: 64.5%
Wilson-LB ROI: —
Units: +0.65u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: —
Worst 30d: —
Longest win streak: 1
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-29 → 2026-05-29

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 85
Days active: 37
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 56 / 19 / 0
Win rate: 74.7%
ROI: 178.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: -22.9%
Units: +151.29u
Max drawdown: +6.57u
Best 30d: +100.36u
Worst 30d: -3.48u
Longest win streak: 10
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-04-08 → 2026-05-18

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-29	nba	in ledger	SpursThunder @ Spurs	-155	win	+0.65u

1 most-recent picks shown.