Strategy · all-conf70-edge5-underdog-away-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, away only, sort by confidence descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "edge",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "venue": "away",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.7
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 223
Days active: 98
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 170 / 53 / 0
Win rate: 76.2%
ROI: -22.2%
Wilson-LB ROI: -27.0%
Units: -49.60u
Max drawdown: +49.62u
Best 30d: +0.04u
Worst 30d: -13.42u
Longest win streak: 21
Longest loss streak: 4
Range: 2025-03-29 → 2026-02-26

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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