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Strategy · all-conf70-edge5-underdog-away-byimplied_prob-top5

In every sport, confidence ≥ 70%, edge ≥ 5%, underdogs only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 5 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
218
Days active
98
Wins / Losses / Pushes
165 / 53 / 0
Win rate
75.7%
ROI
-22.8%
Wilson-LB ROI
-27.7%
Units
-49.70u
Max drawdown
+49.72u
Best 30d
+0.04u
Worst 30d
-13.42u
Longest win streak
18
Longest loss streak
5
Range
2025-03-29 → 2026-02-26

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 5,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "venue": "away",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.7
  }
}

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