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Strategy · all-conf75-edge10-underdog-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 10%, underdogs only, sort by confidence descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
87
Days active
85
Wins / Losses / Pushes
77 / 10 / 0
Win rate
88.5%
ROI
317.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
113.5%
Units
+275.77u
Max drawdown
+6.28u
Best 30d
+283.69u
Worst 30d
-2.88u
Longest win streak
15
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-10-08 → 2026-03-16

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.1,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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