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Strategy · all-conf75-edge2-favorite-byimplied_prob-top3

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
303
Days active
153
Wins / Losses / Pushes
118 / 30 / 0
Win rate
79.7%
ROI
35.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-3.0%
Units
+107.55u
Max drawdown
+4.82u
Best 30d
+101.40u
Worst 30d
-2.87u
Longest win streak
11
Longest loss streak
2
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-12

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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