Strategy · all-conf75-edge2-favorite-home-byedge-all

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 2%, favorites only, home only, sort by edge descending, take every eligible pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "mode": "all_eligible"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.02,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 337
Days active: 112
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 146 / 37 / 0
Win rate: 79.8%
ROI: 32.9%
Wilson-LB ROI: -1.7%
Units: +111.02u
Max drawdown: +6.64u
Best 30d: +101.02u
Worst 30d: -4.70u
Longest win streak: 12
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-04-08 → 2026-04-13

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "edge",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "mode": "all_eligible"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

No picks yet.

0 most-recent picks shown.