Strategy · all-conf75-edge2-underdog-top1

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 2%, underdogs only, sort by confidence descending, take the top pick per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 2 other spellings

[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  },
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "confidence",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 1,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "underdog",
      "edge_min": 0,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 98
Days active: 98
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 86 / 12 / 0
Win rate: 87.8%
ROI: 253.1%
Wilson-LB ROI: 74.0%
Units: +247.99u
Max drawdown: +7.14u
Best 30d: +257.73u
Worst 30d: -3.82u
Longest win streak: 17
Longest loss streak: 2
Range: 2025-10-08 → 2026-03-16

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "confidence",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 1,
    "mode": "top_n"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "underdog",
    "edge_min": 0.02,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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