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Strategy · all-conf75-edge5-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top3persport

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, edge ≥ 5%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 3 per sport per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

This rule is equivalent to 1 other spelling
[
  {
    "sort": {
      "by": "implied_prob",
      "dir": "desc"
    },
    "scope": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "sports": "all"
    },
    "select": {
      "n": 3,
      "mode": "top_n"
    },
    "filters": {
      "side": "favorite",
      "venue": "home",
      "edge_min": 0.05,
      "confidence_min": 0.75
    }
  }
]

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Not yet started.

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
55
Days active
30
Wins / Losses / Pushes
35 / 11 / 0
Win rate
76.1%
ROI
182.5%
Wilson-LB ROI
-73.6%
Units
+100.40u
Max drawdown
+5.95u
Best 30d
+100.36u
Worst 30d
-3.96u
Longest win streak
8
Longest loss streak
3
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-03-10

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "n": 3,
    "mode": "top_n_per_sport"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "edge_min": 0.05,
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

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