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Strategy · all-conf75-favorite-away-byimplied_prob-top10pct
In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, favorites only, away only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 200
- Days active
- 179
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 19 / 7 / 0
- Win rate
- 73.1%
- ROI
- -0.4%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -2.9%
- Units
- -0.85u
- Max drawdown
- +2.08u
- Best 30d
- +1.27u
- Worst 30d
- -1.74u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2025-04-29 → 2026-05-12
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"pct": 0.1,
"mode": "top_pct"
},
"filters": {
"side": "favorite",
"venue": "away",
"confidence_min": 0.75
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
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