Skip to content

Strategy · all-conf75-favorite-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, favorites only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks
1
Days active
1
Wins / Losses / Pushes
0 / 0 / 0
Win rate
ROI
0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI
Units
0.00u
Max drawdown
0.00u
Best 30d
Worst 30d
Longest win streak
0
Longest loss streak
0
Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-05-28

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks
614
Days active
226
Wins / Losses / Pushes
24 / 4 / 0
Win rate
85.7%
ROI
8.7%
Wilson-LB ROI
-4.7%
Units
+53.54u
Max drawdown
+2.00u
Best 30d
+51.40u
Worst 30d
-1.32u
Longest win streak
9
Longest loss streak
1
Range
2025-04-08 → 2026-05-12

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

DateSportPeriodPickOddsOutcomeUnits
2026-05-28mlbin ledgerDodgersRockies @ Dodgers-424pending0.00u

1 most-recent picks shown.