Strategy · all-conf75-favorite-home-byimplied_prob-top10pct

In every sport, confidence ≥ 75%, favorites only, home only, sort by implied probability descending, take top 10% per day.

Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1

Live vs backtest

Live

Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring

Picks: 1
Days active: 1
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 0 / 0 / 0
Win rate: —
ROI: 0.0%
Wilson-LB ROI: —
Units: 0.00u
Max drawdown: 0.00u
Best 30d: —
Worst 30d: —
Longest win streak: 0
Longest loss streak: 0
Range: 2026-05-28 → 2026-05-28

Backtest

Reconstructed from prior predictions

Picks: 483
Days active: 209
Wins / Losses / Pushes: 23 / 1 / 0
Win rate: 95.8%
ROI: 11.6%
Wilson-LB ROI: -5.4%
Units: +56.08u
Max drawdown: +1.00u
Best 30d: +51.02u
Worst 30d: -0.63u
Longest win streak: 10
Longest loss streak: 1
Range: 2025-04-08 → 2026-05-08

The rule, in JSON

You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.

{
  "sort": {
    "by": "implied_prob",
    "dir": "desc"
  },
  "scope": {
    "market": "moneyline",
    "sports": "all"
  },
  "select": {
    "pct": 0.1,
    "mode": "top_pct"
  },
  "filters": {
    "side": "favorite",
    "venue": "home",
    "confidence_min": 0.75
  }
}

Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick

Date	Sport	Period	Pick	Odds	Outcome	Units
2026-05-28	mlb	in ledger	DodgersRockies @ Dodgers	-424	pending	0.00u

1 most-recent picks shown.