Strategy · all-edge2-byimplied_prob-top1
In every sport, edge ≥ 2%, sort by implied probability descending, take the top pick per day.
Sports: MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAAB, NCAAF · Registry version 1
Live vs backtest
Live
Full live record — includes picks before public anchoring
- Picks
- 13
- Days active
- 13
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 4 / 5 / 0
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- ROI
- -20.1%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -62.8%
- Units
- -2.61u
- Max drawdown
- +3.85u
- Best 30d
- -1.00u
- Worst 30d
- -3.85u
- Longest win streak
- 2
- Longest loss streak
- 2
- Range
- 2026-05-20 → 2026-06-03
Backtest
Reconstructed from prior predictions
- Picks
- 396
- Days active
- 396
- Wins / Losses / Pushes
- 175 / 91 / 0
- Win rate
- 65.8%
- ROI
- -15.4%
- Wilson-LB ROI
- -19.4%
- Units
- -60.85u
- Max drawdown
- +61.92u
- Best 30d
- +3.95u
- Worst 30d
- -12.78u
- Longest win streak
- 7
- Longest loss streak
- 4
- Range
- 2025-03-27 → 2026-05-19
The rule, in JSON
You can replicate this leaderboard against your own copy of our published predictions. The rule is the only thing that varies; the inputs are public.
{
"sort": {
"by": "implied_prob",
"dir": "desc"
},
"scope": {
"market": "moneyline",
"sports": "all"
},
"select": {
"n": 1,
"mode": "top_n"
},
"filters": {
"edge_min": 0.02
}
}Recent picks · newest first · ledger membership shown per pick
| Date | Sport | Period | Pick | Odds | Outcome | Units |
|---|
| 2026-06-03 | mlb | in ledger | AngelsRockies @ Angels | -162 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-06-02 | mlb | in ledger | PhilliesPadres @ Phillies | -136 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-06-01 | mlb | in ledger | RedsRoyals @ Reds | -220 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-31 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -155 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-29 | nba | in ledger | SpursThunder @ Spurs | -155 | win | +0.65u |
| 2026-05-27 | nba | in ledger | ThunderSpurs @ Thunder | -198 | win | +0.51u |
| 2026-05-26 | mlb | in ledger | MarinersMariners @ Athletics | -118 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-25 | nhl | in ledger | AvalancheAvalanche @ Golden Knights | -148 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-24 | mlb | in ledger | Red SoxTwins @ Red Sox | -157 | loss | -1.00u |
| 2026-05-23 | mlb | in ledger | GiantsWhite Sox @ Giants | -107 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-22 | mlb | in ledger | DiamondbacksRockies @ Diamondbacks | -199 | win | +0.50u |
| 2026-05-21 | mlb | in ledger | AthleticsAthletics @ Angels | -126 | pending | 0.00u |
| 2026-05-20 | mlb | in ledger | RangersRangers @ Rockies | -136 | win | +0.73u |
13 most-recent picks shown.